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Fuel Prices Surge in Ireland Amid Middle East Supply Disruptions

Over the past month, diesel and petrol prices in Ireland have risen sharply, reaching levels not seen since the aftermath of Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, which triggered a global cost-of-living crisis. At the start of March, pump prices for both fuels hovered around €1.70 per litre. Supply disruptions originating from the Middle East have since pushed prices to approximately €2.08 per litre for diesel and €1.85 per litre for petrol. These figures reflect the government’s temporary excise cuts of 20 cent per litre for diesel and 15 cent for petrol, in place until the end of May.

The rapid increase has led some motorists to allege price-gouging by service-station operators. The Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (CCPC) defines price gouging as charging prices considered unreasonable or unethical, often during crises. While it is not illegal to adjust prices freely, colluding to fix prices would breach competition laws.

AA Ireland’s National Average Price Index shows that diesel rose from €1.72 per litre in February to €1.90 in March, while petrol increased from €1.73 to €1.81. Before the excise cuts, diesel exceeded €2.30 per litre at some forecourts, with petrol around €2. The jump represents an increase of roughly 60 cent for diesel and 30 cent for petrol.

Fuels for Ireland, representing the oil industry, strongly denies allegations of profiteering. Chief Executive Kevin McPartlan said, “It’s entirely possible for prices to rise rapidly without price gouging.” He pointed to publicly available wholesale price data, which show that increases at the pump mirror surges in global fuel markets.

The phenomenon known as “rockets and feathers” describes how prices rise quickly but fall slowly. Some motorists criticised retailers for not immediately passing on the government’s excise cuts. Industry representatives explained that stations selling older stock purchased before the cut would face losses if prices were reduced instantly, and prices would only decrease once newer, cheaper stock reached the pumps.

UCD energy economist Lisa Ryan said suppliers tend to be “risk averse,” raising prices quickly when costs rise but reducing them more slowly. She added that wholesale price increases largely explain recent spikes in petrol and diesel, though home-heating oil, which lacks the same competition, has nearly doubled in price.

The CCPC has reviewed fuel pricing in past years and found no evidence of anti-competitive behaviour. Its 2022 report concluded that rising international wholesale prices, rather than collusion, were responsible for pump-price increases. The commission also noted that competitive markets allow consumers to switch providers if prices are high, keeping pricing generally fair.

Ireland’s fuel market has multiple import terminals and a mix of branded and independent service stations. Retail margins typically account for around two cent per litre, while government taxes form more than half of the pump price. Wholesale price increases remain the primary driver of the recent surge, with competition helping prevent unfair price manipulation.

Business

Fraudsters are increasingly using AI-generated images and videos to trick people into handing over sensitive personal and financial information, according to FraudSMART, the financial crime awareness initiative operated by the Banking and Payments Federation Ireland (BPFI). The organisation has reported a rise in online adverts promoting fake, State-backed investment schemes. These scams often use fabricated images of well-known politicians and business figures to make the offers appear legitimate and encourage users to click on registration links. Niamh Davenport, head of financial crime at BPFI, said scammers are deliberately exploiting recent media coverage of a planned State-backed savings and investment scheme to give their frauds a sense of credibility. “They often claim the scheme is open to everyone, but that places are limited and being ‘snapped up’ fast, in order to pressure people to act quickly,” she said. “They typically promise guaranteed returns or a guaranteed monthly income.” FraudSMART said that while anyone can be targeted, people in their early 50s are particularly vulnerable to investment scams. This age group is often focused on retirement planning, making them more receptive to financial offers that appear secure or high-yield. According to the organisation, most scams follow a similar pattern. Victims are first directed to click a registration link and complete a short online form providing their contact details. They are then contacted by someone posing as a financial adviser, who urges them to make an immediate “security deposit” to secure participation in the scheme. Once a payment is made, the money is quickly moved through multiple accounts, often overseas, making recovery extremely difficult. Davenport warned that scammers are becoming more sophisticated in their use of technology, particularly AI tools that allow them to create realistic but entirely fake promotional content. These materials are designed to mimic legitimate financial advertisements and build trust with potential victims. Recent figures from An Garda Síochána show investment fraud rose by 20% last year, with losses exceeding €20 million. The scale of individual scams varies widely, ranging from smaller crypto-related frauds involving a few hundred euro to large-scale investment schemes where victims lose tens of thousands. FraudSMART is urging the public to remain cautious when encountering online investment advertisements, especially those promising guaranteed returns or requiring urgent action. It also advises consumers to avoid sharing personal information with unverified sources and to be wary of pressure tactics designed to rush financial decisions. Authorities continue to warn that fraudsters are adapting quickly, using advanced digital tools to target victims across multiple platforms.

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Fraudsters are increasingly using AI-generated images and videos to trick people into handing over sensitive personal and financial information, according to FraudSMART, the financial crime awareness initiative operated by the Banking and Payments Federation Ireland (BPFI). The organisation has reported a rise in online adverts promoting fake, State-backed investment schemes. These scams often use fabricated images of well-known politicians and business figures to make the offers appear legitimate and encourage users to click on registration links. Niamh Davenport, head of financial crime at BPFI, said scammers are deliberately exploiting recent media coverage of a planned State-backed savings and investment scheme to give their frauds a sense of credibility. “They often claim the scheme is open to everyone, but that places are limited and being ‘snapped up’ fast, in order to pressure people to act quickly,” she said. “They typically promise guaranteed returns or a guaranteed monthly income.” FraudSMART said that while anyone can be targeted, people in their early 50s are particularly vulnerable to investment scams. This age group is often focused on retirement planning, making them more receptive to financial offers that appear secure or high-yield. According to the organisation, most scams follow a similar pattern. Victims are first directed to click a registration link and complete a short online form providing their contact details. They are then contacted by someone posing as a financial adviser, who urges them to make an immediate “security deposit” to secure participation in the scheme. Once a payment is made, the money is quickly moved through multiple accounts, often overseas, making recovery extremely difficult. Davenport warned that scammers are becoming more sophisticated in their use of technology, particularly AI tools that allow them to create realistic but entirely fake promotional content. These materials are designed to mimic legitimate financial advertisements and build trust with potential victims. Recent figures from An Garda Síochána show investment fraud rose by 20% last year, with losses exceeding €20 million. The scale of individual scams varies widely, ranging from smaller crypto-related frauds involving a few hundred euro to large-scale investment schemes where victims lose tens of thousands. FraudSMART is urging the public to remain cautious when encountering online investment advertisements, especially those promising guaranteed returns or requiring urgent action. It also advises consumers to avoid sharing personal information with unverified sources and to be wary of pressure tactics designed to rush financial decisions. Authorities continue to warn that fraudsters are adapting quickly, using advanced digital tools to target victims across multiple platforms.

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