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Oil Markets Extend Rally as Iran Blockade Concerns Deepen Global Supply Fears

Oil prices extended their upward momentum on Wednesday, marking an eighth consecutive day of gains as investors reacted to reports that the United States plans to prolong its blockade of Iranian ports, a move expected to keep pressure on already strained global supplies.

Brent crude futures for June rose $1.11, or 1%, to $112.37 per barrel in early trading, while the more actively traded July contract climbed to $105.32. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also moved higher, gaining 51 cents, or 0.51%, to $100.44 per barrel after a strong performance in the previous session.

The latest price movement follows media reports, including from the Wall Street Journal, that US President Donald Trump has directed advisers to prepare for an extended blockade of Iran. According to US officials cited in the report, the strategy is aimed at maintaining pressure on Tehran by restricting shipping activity to and from its ports, further limiting its oil exports.

Market analysts say the escalation is reinforcing supply concerns already heightened by the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route through which around one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas flows.

“The recent rise in oil prices has been driven by the Strait blockade. If Trump is prepared to extend the blockade, supply disruptions would worsen further and continue to push oil prices higher,” said Yang An, analyst at Haitong Futures.

The geopolitical backdrop remains tense despite a declared ceasefire in the US-Israeli conflict with Iran. Both sides continue to disagree over terms for a lasting settlement, including Iran’s nuclear programme and demands for sanctions relief.

Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz, combined with US restrictions on Iranian ports, has tightened global supply chains and contributed to drawdowns in global oil inventories. Data from the American Petroleum Institute indicated US crude stocks fell by 1.79 million barrels in the week ending April 24, while gasoline and distillate inventories also recorded significant declines.

Traders are also assessing the longer-term impact of the United Arab Emirates’ surprise decision to exit OPEC. While some analysts say the move is unlikely to affect supplies immediately, ING economists noted that a resolution in the Gulf allowing free movement through Hormuz would be necessary before any UAE output expansion fully reaches the market.

Despite short-term uncertainty, some forecasts suggest the UAE’s departure could eventually increase global supply, potentially reshaping the oil futures curve in the coming months.

For now, however, markets remain focused on geopolitical risk, with supply disruptions and inventory declines continuing to drive prices higher.

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Fraudsters are increasingly using AI-generated images and videos to trick people into handing over sensitive personal and financial information, according to FraudSMART, the financial crime awareness initiative operated by the Banking and Payments Federation Ireland (BPFI). The organisation has reported a rise in online adverts promoting fake, State-backed investment schemes. These scams often use fabricated images of well-known politicians and business figures to make the offers appear legitimate and encourage users to click on registration links. Niamh Davenport, head of financial crime at BPFI, said scammers are deliberately exploiting recent media coverage of a planned State-backed savings and investment scheme to give their frauds a sense of credibility. “They often claim the scheme is open to everyone, but that places are limited and being ‘snapped up’ fast, in order to pressure people to act quickly,” she said. “They typically promise guaranteed returns or a guaranteed monthly income.” FraudSMART said that while anyone can be targeted, people in their early 50s are particularly vulnerable to investment scams. This age group is often focused on retirement planning, making them more receptive to financial offers that appear secure or high-yield. According to the organisation, most scams follow a similar pattern. Victims are first directed to click a registration link and complete a short online form providing their contact details. They are then contacted by someone posing as a financial adviser, who urges them to make an immediate “security deposit” to secure participation in the scheme. Once a payment is made, the money is quickly moved through multiple accounts, often overseas, making recovery extremely difficult. Davenport warned that scammers are becoming more sophisticated in their use of technology, particularly AI tools that allow them to create realistic but entirely fake promotional content. These materials are designed to mimic legitimate financial advertisements and build trust with potential victims. Recent figures from An Garda Síochána show investment fraud rose by 20% last year, with losses exceeding €20 million. The scale of individual scams varies widely, ranging from smaller crypto-related frauds involving a few hundred euro to large-scale investment schemes where victims lose tens of thousands. FraudSMART is urging the public to remain cautious when encountering online investment advertisements, especially those promising guaranteed returns or requiring urgent action. It also advises consumers to avoid sharing personal information with unverified sources and to be wary of pressure tactics designed to rush financial decisions. Authorities continue to warn that fraudsters are adapting quickly, using advanced digital tools to target victims across multiple platforms.

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Fraudsters are increasingly using AI-generated images and videos to trick people into handing over sensitive personal and financial information, according to FraudSMART, the financial crime awareness initiative operated by the Banking and Payments Federation Ireland (BPFI). The organisation has reported a rise in online adverts promoting fake, State-backed investment schemes. These scams often use fabricated images of well-known politicians and business figures to make the offers appear legitimate and encourage users to click on registration links. Niamh Davenport, head of financial crime at BPFI, said scammers are deliberately exploiting recent media coverage of a planned State-backed savings and investment scheme to give their frauds a sense of credibility. “They often claim the scheme is open to everyone, but that places are limited and being ‘snapped up’ fast, in order to pressure people to act quickly,” she said. “They typically promise guaranteed returns or a guaranteed monthly income.” FraudSMART said that while anyone can be targeted, people in their early 50s are particularly vulnerable to investment scams. This age group is often focused on retirement planning, making them more receptive to financial offers that appear secure or high-yield. According to the organisation, most scams follow a similar pattern. Victims are first directed to click a registration link and complete a short online form providing their contact details. They are then contacted by someone posing as a financial adviser, who urges them to make an immediate “security deposit” to secure participation in the scheme. Once a payment is made, the money is quickly moved through multiple accounts, often overseas, making recovery extremely difficult. Davenport warned that scammers are becoming more sophisticated in their use of technology, particularly AI tools that allow them to create realistic but entirely fake promotional content. These materials are designed to mimic legitimate financial advertisements and build trust with potential victims. Recent figures from An Garda Síochána show investment fraud rose by 20% last year, with losses exceeding €20 million. The scale of individual scams varies widely, ranging from smaller crypto-related frauds involving a few hundred euro to large-scale investment schemes where victims lose tens of thousands. FraudSMART is urging the public to remain cautious when encountering online investment advertisements, especially those promising guaranteed returns or requiring urgent action. It also advises consumers to avoid sharing personal information with unverified sources and to be wary of pressure tactics designed to rush financial decisions. Authorities continue to warn that fraudsters are adapting quickly, using advanced digital tools to target victims across multiple platforms.

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